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Claim DENG - Death of Deng triggers revolt

Category: News:World News JUDGED at 0
Owner:91
Judge:960, Outside Appeals Panel
created:1995/01/28
due date:1997/08/19

The Claim

The death announcement of Deng Xiaopeng, the current leader of China will trigger a massive revolt which results in the toppling of the current communist government (the "Government").

To be judged "YES":

a) There must be rioting or large demonstrations in at least 5 major (pop > 500,000) cities in China,

AND b) The Government must lose control of the army. NO more than 5 divisions remain under operational control of the Government. Nuclear weapons control is immaterial to this claim.

AND c) Within 6 months of the death announcement, it must be obvious to the judge that the Government no longer exercises real control of the country. At least 60% of the existing population at the time must no longer be under the control of the Government. "Control" implies the rather strict coercion existing now, that is, the lack of free speech and assembly rights (and the prevention of them).

This claim must be judged either fully "Yes" or "No". No fractional judgement will be made.

Judge's Statement

Deng Xioping died February 19, 1997.

Standard ambiguity clause: If the wording is found to be ambiguous the Panel will judge on the basis of the obvious intent. If the intent is ambiguous the Panel will judge on the basis of precise wording. If both are ambiguous or if both are clear but conflict, the Panel will look for a solution that causes the least damage to FX as a market and game.

The Market

Price Plot for life of DENG
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