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Claim Mark99 - Markybot score after two years

Category: Science & Technology:Idea Futures (and Experimental Claims) Science & Technology:Computing Theory, AI JUDGED at 0
Owner:483, patrik
Judge:70, jjones@cnj.digex.net
created:1998/02/05
due date:1999/02/04

The Claim

This scaled claim will be judged according to the average score of player 14, currently named Markybot, as reported by the FX server, at five randomly chosen times during January 1999. The judge is responsible for randomly sampling the scores, and keeping the results secret until the due date of 4 February, 1999.

This claim is based on an earlier claim, Mark98. After one year of trading, Markybot had a score of approximately 1.129, although it occasionally scored much higher. If its score continues to increase at the same rate, it should have a score of 1.274 by 1999/02/04.

If the average score is 1.100 or less, the YES payoff is $0. If the score is 1.500 or more, the YES payoff is $1. Otherwise, the YES payoff is 2.5 * (score - 1.100), rounded to the nearest cent (1.100 -> 00; 1.200 -> 25; 1.300 -> 50; 1.400 -> 75; 1.500 -> 100). See http://www.cs.unm.edu/~patrik/mark99.html for background information and a payoff table. Check this page out, it has some important stuff.

Judge's Statement

None

The Market

Your Buy YES Orders Players Buying YES Coupons
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Price Plot for life of Mark99
Last trade price: 0
Current ask price: 100
Current bid price: 0
Pairs outstanding: 521
Players participating: 10
View the ticker for this Claim.

Your cash balance: 12765.11
Your holdings in this Claim: 0
Your UID:
Your password:
Your Sell YES Orders Players Selling YES Coupons
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