Claim Mart04 - Paul Martin elected Cdn PM '04

The Claim

Paul Martin will be Prime Minister of Canada following a federal election in 2004. Specifically, this claim should be judged YES only if all of the following occur:

1. A federal election is held in Canada in 2004.

2. Paul Martin is the leader of the party that wins the most seats in that election

3. Within a year of the election, Paul Martin is sworn in as the Prime Minister of Canada

NOTE: There MUST BE AN ELECTION for this claim to pay. Paul Martin may also act as Prime Minister prior to an election but that is not what is claimed here: this claim says that he will be Prime Minister after having won a general federal election.

Judge's Statement

In cases of ambiguity, I will judge the claim by its wording, not its intent.

Point 3 will not disqualify the event that the swearing-in ceremony happens to precede the election.

According to The Globe and Mail, Martin was sworn in on 12 Dec 2003. A Canadian federal election is scheduled for 28 Jun 2004. If Martin wins this election and continues to serve as Prime Minister, I will judge this claim TRUE.

The Market

Price Plot for life of Mart04

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