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Claim Terr - Nuke capable Terrorists

Category: News:Disasters JUDGED at 0
Owner:0, Bank
Judge:483, patrik
created:1994/09/23
due date:1999/01/01

The Claim

Terrorists will obtain nuclear capability by the year 1999.

Judge's Statement

Ambiguity clause: I will judge this claim based on its precise wording, unless this wording conflicts with my perception of the intent of the claim. If both intent and wording are ambiguous, I will look for a solution that causes the least damage to FX as a market and game. If you have any questions, or think you may have found a loophole, please contact me!!

"Nuclear capability" refers to a nuclear fusion of fission bomb. Radiation weapons (e.g. plutonium dust dispersed via a conventional explosive device) are explicitely excluded, as are terrorist attacks on nuclear waste sites or nuclear reactors using conventional weapons.

In order for a group to have nuclear capability, they must at the very least be in posession of the materials and knowledge to manufacture a nuclear fission or fusion bomb, and have started to assemble such a device. Posession of a nuclear warhead would of course suffice as well. It is not necessary for the group to actually use, threaten to use, or announce posession of such a device. However, the fact that they have nuclear capability must be known by 1999/01/01.

I have yet to find a good definition of "terrorist" (suggestions welcome...). I think it should include at least the following points:

  • use or significant threat of violence
  • illegal within the country where they operate
  • not run by a government
For example, Lybian soldiers planting bombs in the US, or a CIA operation in Iraq would not qualify. Lybia-backed terrorists, or a CIA-backed group in Iraq may qualify. I'll resolve any grey areas when and if they come up.

The Market

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Price Plot for life of Terr
Last trade price: 0
Current ask price: 100
Current bid price: 0
Pairs outstanding: 6650
Players participating: 75
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Your cash balance: 13339.11
Your holdings in this Claim: 0
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