Claim ChBr - Deng dies -> China breaks up.

The Claim

After the death of Deng Xiaoping will China remain whole or will the provinicial goverments not recognized any clear successor and take the opportunity to break into seprate nation states. To answer yes at least two portions of China, not counting Taiwan, must have their own, unrelated governments. For the answer to be judged yes one of two conditions must be met.

1. The two states recognize no common institute to which they are responsible. This condition can occur if one of the two states claims independence even if the other state does not recognize it as independent. Each government however has to have real control over their perpective states. E.g., Taiwan and the Peoples Republic of China would count if Taiwan was included.
2. The two states have a union along the lines of the EU but recognize each other as independent and each seek international recognition.

Judge's Statement

Judgement will be based on publicly available newsmedia. If nothing drastic happens, judging date will be February 19, 2002.

The Market

Price Plot for life of ChBr

Last trade price: 0 Current ask price: 100 Current bid price: 0 Pairs outstanding: 1914 Players participating: 35 View the ticker for this Claim. Your cash balance: 1017.74 Your holdings in this Claim: 0 Your UID: Your password: